Oil prices see sustained surge
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"A sustained $10 increase in oil prices is expected to increase inflation by 0.4% and lower GDP by 0.4%": Apollo Global Management 's ( APO -4.34%) chief economist Torston Slok says oil is fueling U.S. stagflation fears, adding to the effect expected from import tariffs.
Importantly, this shift in positioning occurred before last Friday’s dramatic escalation in the Middle East, when Israel launched strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and senior military targets,” said Ole Hansen,
Stock futures were mixed on Sunday as investors weighed the impact of the escalating Israel-Iran conflict that shows no signs of any potential off-ramps ahead. Oil prices jumped after Israel attack key areas of Iran’s energy infrastructure over the weekend,
Although the U.S. is a net oil exporter, higher oil prices could increase inflation and lower economic growth.
An hour with a big fixed income manager is a discussion of the big issues. Expect volatility, he says – a bit of a tired line, although not an untrue one.
That’s the end of the cheapest petrol prices in the UK for four years” – Tony Redondo, Cosmos Currency Exchange
Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities risk pushing back the timeline for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as the US central bank waits to assess any potential impact on inflation, economists said.
That sent the yield on the 10-year Treasury up to 4.43% from 4.36% late Thursday. Higher yields can tug down on prices for stocks and other investments, while making it more expensive for U.S. companies and households to borrow money.